We
are all aware that the universe is a very big, diverse place. Our
own galaxy, the Milky Way, contains somewhere in the range of 200 to 400
billion stars. Estimates of the number of galaxies in the entire universe
go up to about 500 billion, each containing it's own hundreds of billions
of stars. These are staggering numbers, and the odds of us being the
only life-producing planet in the galaxy, much less the universe, are infinitesimally
small, pretty much to the point of being impossible. Certainly, for
life as we know it, a planet has to be a certain distance from its sun,
and many other elements have to be in place for life to exist and expand,
not something that happens around every sun or even every 50, 100, or even
1,000 suns. But it undoubtedly does happen, even if only occasionally.
Accepting this as fact, it would follow that some life-producing planets
would still be at the very early stages of life, some would be in the middle,
and some would be advanced, with only the advanced having the capability
to venture out or at least send beacons to worlds outside their own.
So even if life is teeming in our galaxy and beyond, the worlds with beings
advanced enough to make contact (and close enough to attract our attention)
are probably fairly limited, though still, the odds are high that there
are at least a few. So where are they, and why have we come
up with no hard-core, indisputable proof that extraterrestrial life
exists? Below are some of the prevailing theories:
Advanced civilizations
are self-destructive
This is a chilling theory whereby once a civilization
advances to a certain point, it inadvertently (or advertently) annihilates
itself. This is not so far out, as it involves stuff we read about
in the papers every day here on planet earth, including overpopulation,
scarcity of resources, communicable diseases, nuclear bombs, biological
terrorism, and air or water pollution, to name a few. There are virtually
unlimited ways to either mess each other up or mess up our environment to
the point of no return as we become more technologically advanced, and we
may be at a make or break point even now on planet earth. If a an
alien civilization has indeed gotten to the point of being able venture
out to find life in other places, it may be that its efforts just didn't
last long enough to accomplish anything meaningful due to its own inclination
to self-destruct. Due to the distances involved in sending and receiving
messages over the vastness of space, a civilization would have to watch,
listen, and transmit for a very long time to increase chances of being detected
by a world elsewhere in the galaxy or beyond. Of course, our inclination
to self-destruct would have to be a trait shared by most advanced life in
the universe for this theory to be valid, and we have no evidence that this
is the case so far.
Periodic eradication
of life by the planet itself
This one is not so far-fetched. We already
know that our planet is a dangerous one, with super volcanoes, ice
ages, mega-quakes, solar flares, and meteor hits that occur on a periodic
basis, eradicating large amounts of life in the process. We can only
assume that any other planet with an environment conducive to advanced life
forms would also have these types of scenarios. It takes a living,
breathing planet to evolve living, breathing life forms. Therefore,
life could be a "one step forward, two steps back" type of thing, where
beings evolve to a certain point only to be devastated by a natural disaster
of global magnitude, returning to a non-technological state for at least
a while. Our technology has only been in it's currently recognizable
state for around the last 150 years, and at any point a global catastrophe
could occur that would set us back to being farmers or even cave-dwellers.
Again, technology would have to be sustained for a long period of time in
order to detect or be detected by another civilization.
Alien beings are out
there, but they choose to remain silent
Here on earth, we have programs that are actively
looking for evidence of life on other planets, mainly by scanning the skies
for intelligent-sounding radio waves and looking with telescopes for telltale
signs of habitable places. We haven't made a huge effort to transmit
messages out into the universe for others to pick up, however, we have made
a few notable attempts, including the Voyager gold records, which many scientists
think were a particularly unwise move. The problem is, we don't know
who is going to intercept any messages we send. They could be received
by a highly advanced, benevolent civilization that will help bring us into
a golden age, or they could be received by a malevolent civilization with
the technology and the will to destroy us completely. It would take
a worldwide consensus (not likely) to formally embark on any kind of focused
messaging into the universe because the consequences (good or bad) would
be shared by the entire planet. There are just too many unknowns at
this point, and the prudent thing is to just passively listen and look for
clues rather than aggressively send out signals. It would seem reasonable
that other civilizations might have the same concerns, and also passively
watch and listen. The result is that everybody is listening but nobody
is sending, a real possibility. There are, however, inadvertent signals
we send out with radio and television and the like that could be picked
up by someone looking in the right place at the right time.
They might be watching Star Trek reruns on planet Zircon for all we know,
but that's unlikely, since we have only been transmitting radio signals
for about the last 100 years. In cosmic terms, 100 years is the blink
of an eye, and it's very possible that nobody has detected us thus far,
at least via radio waves or television. Even if they have
detected us, it's not unreasonable to think that they might very well stay
cautiously silent at least for a while to assess what we are all about before
announcing their presence.
The government
is withholding information about extraterrestrial life
This is pretty much a given. The government withholds information
about everything. The question is to what degree are they withholding
information. If you look back through history, there is some fairly
compelling evidence for the presence of extraterrestrials all the way back
to the cave dwellers, who drew pictures on cave walls that look just like
our modern alien depictions. Ancient civilizations built amazing
structures that we would be hard-pressed to duplicate today, and they supposedly
did it with only the most rudimentary tools. There are places like
the Nazca lines in Peru that don't look like anything until you see them
from the air. And of course, there are the modern stories - jet pilots
who are followed by something that can outmaneuver anything we have, astronauts
who see strange things while in space, and even Presidents who themselves
have experienced weird unexplained phenomenon. Then there is Project
Blue Book - the government's attempt to explain UFO sightings, 20% of which
were never explained satisfactorily. And of course, there is Roswell
and Area 51. When the crash occurred at Roswell, the government came
right out and said it was an alien crash, only to backpedal the next day
and say it was a weather balloon. These little pieces of evidence
here, there, and everywhere do tend to make one wonder what they really
know. The evidence strongly suggests that they are aware that something
is going on beyond the ordinary, but it also suggests that they don't deem
it a huge threat. We are not presently ramping up our military or
our space programs to combat a threat from the great beyond, and although
we have experienced remarkable advancement in the last 150 years or so,
we pretty much know that the seeds were planted by the hard work of the
Einsteins of the world, not by alien intervention. So the bottom line
is that the government almost certainly does know a lot more than they are
telling us about extraterrestrials, but whatever it is they know, they apparently
don't deem it to be an imminent threat, at least for the time being.
Extraterrestrials are
too alien
We are constantly working towards unlocking the
secrets of the universe, but in the grand scheme of creation, we are just
babes in the woods despite all our gee whiz technological advances.
The truth is, we don't know what it's like to visit another galaxy or even
another star in our own galaxy. We have a rudimentary grasp of the
physics of the universe, but most of our knowledge is derived from theory
and not practical experience. We tend to think of extraterrestrials
as being somewhat like us, but what if they aren't? They might live
by a completely different set or rules than we do, living in higher or lower
dimension and vibrating on a different frequency entirely. It
could be that they are all around us and we simply don't recognize them
for what they are or even see them at all. They could be passing through
a wormhole right in the middle of our living room with us completely unaware
of them and them of us. It could be that they are so fast that we
can't see them or so slow that we can't see them. Maybe every solar
system has it's own unique brand of "life." If they don't generate
radio waves and we are looking for radio waves, we are simply barking up
the wrong tree, and it could be that they are signaling with some technology
we haven't even discovered yet.
Conclusion:
It is worth noting (as far as the general public is concerned) that so far
there is no concrete evidence that we have been visited by extraterrestrials
in our immediate vicinity (the parts of the solar system we have explored).
Governments might know more, but if they do, they are staying remarkably
silent about it. We do have some anecdotal evidence by various credible
people, but this does not constitute proof. Space is such a big big
place that its breadth and scope are almost beyond comprehension.
It takes a radio wave 8 minutes to reach the sun, 4 years to reach even
the nearest star, and 120,000 years to go across the galaxy. Not to
mention close to a million years to reach even the closest galaxy outside
our own. So distance alone could very well be the reason we are not
aware of any extraterrestrial civilizations, or it could be a combination
of factors above, such as distance and the length of time advanced civilizations
exist. If someone on the other side of the galaxy started sending
out radio waves 50,000 years ago, they wouldn't reach us for another 70,000
years, and then we would have to be listening in the right place at the
right time. We wouldn't have a clue as to whether they still existed or
not after receiving such a message. Although receipt of the message
would constitute proof of extraterrestrials, it probably wouldn't help all
that much as far as getting to know how they lived or what they thought
(depending on the contents of the message, of course). This would
be similar to finding a message in a bottle from 120 years ago. You
would know that someone existed that created the message, but that individual
would be long gone and the only information about them would be the contents
of the message itself. It is worth noting that at this time, science
is making great strides in pinpointing where extraterrestrial life may reside.
A planet was discovered in late 2011 that is in the right position related
to its star and has a very good chance of harboring life. This is
about 20 light years from us. No word so far as to whether any intelligent-sounding
signals have emanated from it, but it is an exciting find nonetheless.
As we learn more about what constitutes "outer space", we are realizing
that space itself contains all the ingredients for life. Indeed, we
are all "star children," having been born of the very same stuff out of
which the universe itself was created. This strongly suggests that
we are not unique in the universe. At some point, if we hold together
long enough as a civilization, we may very well find a way to bend space-time,
reducing or eliminating the distance problems, but that is the stuff of
science fiction as of this writing. So in conclusion, at least
for the time being, all we can really do is keep looking and hope that we
can find that needle in the haystack that we know has to exist just
beyond our reach.
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